Expected sales
Reachable audience × conversion rate.
Free planning tool · No signup
Use this online course revenue calculator to estimate buyers, refunds, platform fees, payment costs, profit margin, and the audience required to break even—before you spend money on a launch.
Interactive forecast
Use one consistent planning period—one month, cohort, or launch window—for audience, revenue, and costs. Every assumption remains editable.
Estimate reachable people, conversion, and price.
Start with a verified preset, then edit any charge.
Estimated profit $1,931 from 20.0 projected sales.
Estimated profit
$1,93168.2% margin after modeled costsBreak-even estimate
5 salesor about 206 reachable people at a 2% conversion rateConversion sensitivity
Planning estimate only. Taxes, currency conversion, chargebacks, financing, creator labor, and costs not entered above are excluded.
Worked example · Hypothetical, not a forecast
Model one month: 1,000 reachable prospects, 2% buying, 5% refunds, a $30 subscription, 5% platform fee, 2.9% + $0.30 processing, $500 production, and $200 advertising. These are illustrative inputs, not a vendor quote or a typical conversion benchmark. Original platform and processing fees are retained after refunds.
| Step | Amount |
|---|---|
| Gross sales | $2,000.00 |
| Refunds | −$100.00 |
| Platform transaction fees | −$100.00 |
| Payment processing | −$64.00 |
| Subscription, production and advertising | −$730.00 |
| Modeled profit | $1,006.00 |
With these assumptions, at least 9 original sales cover the modeled costs. Halving conversion to 1% gives $138.00 profit; at 3% it is $1,874.00. Taxes, your time, currency conversion, and disputes are not included. This is why audience and conversion assumptions matter more than a small platform-fee difference.
Try your own inputs in the calculatorTransparent math
A sales forecast becomes useful only after refunds, variable fees, and fixed launch costs are included. The calculator keeps each layer visible.
Reachable audience × conversion rate.
Expected sales × price, less modeled refunds.
Platform, processing, production, launch, and advertising costs.
Collected revenue − all modeled costs.
Profit = collected revenue − platform costs − processing − production − advertising
Preset assumptions
Presets are convenience inputs—not endorsements. Annual-plan monthly equivalents and platform fees reflect the full pricing audit completed September 2, 2026.
| Preset | Subscription | Platform charge modeled | Research |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gumroad direct | $0 | 10% + $0.50 per sale | Gumroad fee guide |
| Thinkific Basic | $40/month | 0% native-payment assumption | Check gateway fees |
| Teachable Starter | $29/month | 7.5% platform fee | Teachable fee guide |
| Podia Mover | $42/month | 5% platform fee | Podia fee guide |
| LearnWorlds Starter | $24/month | $5 per original paid enrollment; change fee-return behavior only if confirmed | LearnWorlds fee guide |
Payment processing is editable and separate. Confirm taxes, currencies, gateway eligibility, refund rules, and final checkout prices with each provider.
Method questions
It is a scenario model, not a prediction. The output is only as useful as your audience, conversion, refund, price, and cost assumptions. Test a conservative, expected, and optimistic scenario before committing money.
Use your own measured rate when possible. If you do not have one, model several rates instead of treating a single benchmark as truth. This calculator shows 1%, your selected rate, and 5% side by side.
Yes. It includes editable subscription, percentage, per-sale, payment-processing, refund, production, and advertising assumptions. Taxes, currency conversion, chargebacks, financing, and creator labor are excluded unless you add them to your costs.
Not necessarily. The calculator keeps original transaction fees by default. Use the separate platform and processor fee-return controls only when your provider confirms that it returns those fees. Additional refund or dispute charges are excluded.